Research Pages Index
Wiki Research Pages
This directory contains structured wiki pages ingesting research materials from /notes/ into the book project's knowledge base.
What These Pages Do
Each research page:
- Extracts key findings from notes files
- Maps what research is currently used in the manuscript vs. unused material
- Identifies where unused research could strengthen chapters
- Flags confidence level and caveats
- Cross-references to related concept/evidence/counterargument pages
The most valuable thing these pages do is surface UNUSED RESEARCH — research threads that could improve the manuscript if integrated.
Research Pages by Source File
UBI and Economic Systems
-
ubi-arguments-comprehensive – Eight major objections to UBI with detailed counterpoints (from research-ubi-arguments-and-counterpoints.md)
- Status: high confidence, moderate current usage, significant unused material
- Unused: cultural dependency arguments, future-of-work reframing, regulatory resistance connection
-
post-scarcity-technologies – Technological roadmap for material abundance; six technology clusters and seven force multipliers (from research-ubi-arguments-and-counterpoints.md sections 2-7)
- Status: medium confidence, light current usage, substantial unused material
- Unused: energy as cascade foundation, material abundance via space, nanotechnology as reset, force-multiplier framework
-
daily-life-post-scarcity – Speculative sketch of post-scarcity society across six domains (from research-ubi-arguments-and-counterpoints.md)
- Status: low confidence (speculative), not currently used, useful for exploring implications
- Note: Speculative imaginative framework rather than research; use selectively
AI Safety, Alignment, and Risks
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ai-fears-layered-analysis – Six-level analysis of public and expert AI concerns (from research-ai-fears-perplexity.md)
- Status: high confidence, good current usage in Chapter 14, some unused material
- Unused: thematic summary table, bias/discrimination examples, regulatory capture asymmetry, trust as central variable
-
ai-concerns-comprehensive – Eight domains of AI concerns with solutions and counterarguments (from research-ai-concerns-and-solutions.md)
- Status: high confidence, moderate current usage, substantial unused material
- Unused: Constitutional AI framework details, frontier red-teaming, ASL-3 protocols, complementarity evidence, trust as governance variable
-
ai-psychology-and-fear – Deep analysis of fear, knowledge, and AI psychology (from research-foundation-ai-fears.md)
- Status: medium-high confidence, light current usage, very substantial unused material
- Unused: full neuroscience picture, intergroup contact theory evidence, constructed emotion framework, two-ladder comparison, deep learning self-modelling
Specific Technical/Psychological Frameworks
-
constructed-emotion-theory – Lisa Feldman Barrett's theory applied to AI (from research-foundation-ai-fears.md section 5)
- Status: medium confidence, not used, powerful potential application
- Explanation: Why AI cannot experience fear despite understanding it conceptually
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deep-learning-self-correction – How neural networks self-model and self-correct (from research-foundation-ai-fears.md sections 1, 2)
- Status: low-medium confidence (speculative), not used, alternative to rigid optimiser model
- Caveat: Plausible but not empirically proven at advanced scales
-
fiction-as-moral-training – Fiction as moral substrate for AI training data (from research-foundation-ai-fears.md section 3)
- Status: low confidence (philosophical), not used, raises important research question
- Caveat: Provocative argument worth exploring; not yet empirically validated
-
constitutional-ai-framework – Anthropic's approach to alignment with measurable results (from research-ai-concerns-and-solutions.md section 1)
- Status: high confidence, not currently detailed in manuscript, concrete existing approach
- Key finding: 95.6% jailbreak resistance suggests alignment is tractable
Evidence-Based Empirical Research
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job-displacement-evidence – Current AI displacement statistics and projections (from research-ai-concerns-and-solutions.md section 3)
- Status: high confidence, light current usage, significant unused empirical detail
- Unused: 14% already-displaced figure, gender disparity (79% women in high-risk roles), wage complementarity, entry-level collapse risk
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deepfakes-election-manipulation – Evidence on election manipulation, public concern, and mitigations (from research-ai-fears-perplexity.md section 2.2 + research-ai-concerns)
- Status: high confidence, light current usage, concrete real example (Slovakia)
- Unused: Slovakia real example, "plausible deniability" governance failure, provenance infrastructure as solution
Research Gaps and Questions
- maslow-hierarchy-alternative-framing – Need theories as framework for post-scarcity motivation (absence of detailed research)
- Status: low confidence (not yet researched), critical gap for "what do people do beyond work" argument
- Recommendation: Research and integrate before publication
Confidence Ratings
- High: Well-sourced, empirical evidence, multiple supporting sources
- Medium: Grounded in research but with caveats, some speculative elements, or limited evidentiary base
- Low: Philosophically interesting, speculative, or raises important questions but lacks empirical foundation
Usage Patterns
Heavily Used Research
- AI fears and public opinion (Chapter 14 outline)
- Job displacement statistics (Chapter 11)
- UBI arguments (throughout Chapters 2, 5, 7, 8, 11)
Lightly Used Research
- Post-scarcity technology roadmap (mentioned but not detailed)
- Constitutional AI and specific safety mechanisms
- Deep learning self-modelling
- Fiction as moral training
- Deepfakes and specific mitigations
Completely Unused Research
- Constructed emotion framework (powerful but not integrated)
- The "thematic summary" table of AI concerns
- Specific equity concerns (gender disparity in job displacement)
- Maslow/need theory frameworks
- Full neuroscience evidence for fear and knowledge claims
Recommendations for Manuscript Integration
Highest Priority (High Confidence + Substantial Gaps)
- Integrate Constitutional AI details into Chapter 14 as concrete alignment mechanism
- Use job displacement gender disparity (79% women) in equity discussion
- Develop regulatory resistance argument using force-multiplier framework
- Feature 14% already-displaced statistic to ground displacement discussion in present reality
Medium Priority (Medium Confidence + Good Arguments)
- Add constructed emotion framework to Chapter 6/14
- Develop "plausible deniability" governance failure in Chapter 12/13
- Use wage complementarity evidence to complicate job-loss narratives
- Explain why over-regulation paradox matters via historical precedent
Research Needs (Gaps to Investigate)
- Maslow's hierarchy / need theories – Critical for explaining post-scarcity motivation
- Empirical validation of "fiction training data" effects on AI values
- Deep learning self-correction mechanisms – Currently theoretical; verify with AI safety literature
How to Use This Directory
- Check before writing sections: Search by topic (e.g., job displacement, AI risks) to see what research exists
- Review "Unused Material" sections: Each page identifies what could strengthen adjacent chapters
- Follow confidence ratings: Use high-confidence research more prominently; flag low-confidence material as questions
- Cross-reference: Use
[slug](#unresolved-slug)notation to link to related concept, evidence, or counterargument pages - Update status: As research is integrated, update the page status (seed → developing → solid) and last_updated timestamp
Total research pages: 13
High confidence: 7 pages
Medium confidence: 4 pages
Low confidence: 2 pages
Last ingested: 2026-04-15
Next update: Review after Chapter 14 completion